A challenging tightrope walk for the Fed gets harder
Financial conditions and markets have danced closely together this year. This week’s chart looks at why their latest move may be problematic for the Fed.
As inflation cools, macro alarms sound anew
The 10Y–2Y yield curve inverted to its deepest level in 40 years. This week’s chart looks at the yield curve over time as macro risks remain prominent.
The Agg is no longer balancing equity volatility
As rates keep rising, this week’s chart looks at the 60/40’s historically poor performance, as the Agg has not balanced stocks’ negative returns.
Could investors be counting on an unrequited Fed pivot?
Investors have bet on a Fed pivot recently. Yet, this week’s chart looks at market-based expectations for the Fed funds rate, which have kept rising.
A wide disconnect between investors and the Fed
Markets expect the Fed to be much less hawkish than Fed policymakers do. This week’s chart looks at how the disconnect could drive volatility.
With inflation, stock-bond correlation jumps
As prices spike, this week’s chart looks at rising inflation’s impact on the correlation between stocks and bonds.
