Market commentary

Credit markets climbed steadily higher throughout a relatively quiet August, with HY Bonds and Senior Secured Loans returning 0.98% and 1.49%, respectively. Interest rates rose throughout the month following the Fed’s inflation policy shift, sending the duration-sensitive Barclays Agg down -0.81%.

The recovery in markets continued in July as optimism surrounding reopening and further stimulus measures outweighed fears of rising cases. HY Bonds and Senior Secured Loans returned 4.78% and 1.96%, respectively. Interest rates fell steadily throughout the month, boosting the duration-sensitive Barclays Agg, which returned 1.25%.

The recovery in markets continued in June, but at a slower pace amid concerns over rising COVID cases. HY Bonds and Senior Secured Loans still ended the month up, returning 0.97% and 1.14%, respectively, capping off the best quarter for each market since Q3 2009. Interest rates spiked early in the month before declining slightly, and the duration-sensitive Barclays Agg returned 0.63%.

Steps to reopen the economy and progress toward a COVID-19 vaccine created an optimistic sentiment for much of the month, as HY Bonds, Senior Secured Loans and structured products posted strong returns. Interest rates remained relatively rangebound and the duration-sensitive Barclays Agg had a slight gain.

Markets broadly rallied in April on the back of unprecedented stimulus by Congress and the Federal Reserve. HY Bonds posted their strongest monthly performance since January 2019 while Senior Secured Loans recorded their largest one-month gain since 2009. A decline in interest rates following an early-month spike boosted the duration-sensitive Barclays Agg.

HY Bonds and Senior Secured Loans each endured their worst month since 2008, ending down -11.76% and -12.37%, respectively, as the global rout in risk assets continued. Historically, credit markets have been resilient, performing well following sell-offs and rewarding investors for buying in at or near current spread levels.