What’s driving higher inflation and what to expect in 2022
Inflation looms as the biggest economic uncertainty for investors and policymakers. We build a bottom-up scenario and break down risks in 2022.
An inconsistent truth: Interest rates and inflation can diverge
Inflation has skyrocketed in Q3 while benchmark yields have moved lower. Yet these dynamics are not as inconsistent as they currently appear, and persistent inflation and low interest rates could continue well into 2022.
It’s complicated: Leveraged loans and the LIBOR transition
A deep dive into challenges facing the loan market as SOFR’s incorporation gains momentum.
Chief U.S. Economist Lara Rhame’s 10 for ‘21
2021 will be a balancing act of long-run optimism with near-term challenges. Read our watchlist for 10 big ideas on the economy, policy and markets.
The missing piece: SOFR’s place in the post-LIBOR puzzle
Read about key differences between SOFR and LIBOR, and upcoming milestones for SOFR’s incorporation into markets.
Election 2020: Polls, policies and market impacts
Markets are squarely focused on the outcome of the upcoming U.S. election, which poses significant uncertainty for equity markets and interest rates.