Chart of the week

Private equity has historically outperformed public markets

The Magnificent 7 makes all the headlines, but private equity has quietly outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 5-, 10-, 15- and 20-year periods.

Return comparison: Private vs. public equity

Column chart showing returns on the Pitchbook North American Private Equity Index vs. the S&P 500 over the 5-, 10-, 15-, and 20-year periods ended December 31, 2023. Over each time period, the Pitchbook Private Equity Index handily outperformed the S&P 500 Index.

Source: Pitchbook, as of December 31, 2023, latest data available.  

  • The strong headline returns for U.S. stocks this year mask the realities beneath the surface.
    • Investing in the S&P 500 increasingly implies a concentrated bet on a small group of large cap U.S. tech and tech-related firms—these Magnificent 7 stocks account for more than 30% of the index’s weight and an astounding 61% of its year-to-date return.1
    • Meanwhile, small- and mid-cap stocks have only managed to eke out a flat year-to-date return (0.46%) as the percentage of small-cap public companies generating negative earnings has increased from approximately 25% in 2012 to 41% today.1
  • There is a large, often untapped opportunity set outside the public markets: The number of private companies has increased 43% over the last several decades while the number of public companies has declined -35%.2
  • As the chart shows, private equity funds have outperformed the S&P 500 over the long-term.3 In exchange for these compelling returns private equity investors give up the level of liquidity and transparency inherent to public markets.
  • Private equity investing has historically been the domain of large institutions, such as pension funds and endowments, due to the high investment minimums and strict suitability requirements.
  • However, there are a growing number of investment vehicles available to help individuals address many of these historical challenges as asset managers focus on expanding access to private equity. 

  • Bloomberg Finance L.P., as of June 13, 2024. Small- and mid-cap stocks represented by the Russell 2000 Index.

  • World Bank; U.S.-based listed companies for years 1988-2019.

  • Pitchbook North American Private Equity Index, as of December 31, 2023, latest data available.

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