Lara Rhame

Lara is Chief U.S. Economist at FS Investments, where she analyzes developments in the global and U.S. economies and financial markets. Her fresh take on macroeconomic issues helps to inform and develop the firm’s long-term views on the economy, investment trends and issues facing investors. Lara is committed to the Philadelphia community and serves on the board of both the Economy League of Greater Philadelphia and Starr Garden Park.

Equities sail into late-cycle headwinds

The end of 2018 may not have been a temporary rough patch for traditional equity investments, but the beginning of what could be a more extended period of challenged profits and heightened volatility.
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A potentially dangerous curve

If the yield curve inverts, will a recession follow? Not necessarily, given how far from normal the current expansion and Fed rate hike cycle are. We believe investors should instead watch out for volatility sparked by recession fears and prepare for especially challenged traditional income sources.
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Q2 2018: growth is climbing, income still challenged

Today’s economic landscape may challenge the performance of traditional investments going forward. Recent positive cyclical momentum looks set to continue for some time, but long-term structural headwinds remain firmly entrenched. Despite strong growth, low interest rates could challenge investors throughout 2018 and beyond.
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Strong economic growth but rising risks in 2018

Sustained above-trend growth raises the risk of meaningfully higher volatility, something which has already caught investors by surprise in 2018. What factors are causing positive momentum and are they set to continue?
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