Chart of the week

The 60/40 portfolio sinks amid market volatility

Finding shelter amid market mayhem? This week’s chart shows why investors may need alternative sources of income and diversification.

February 28, 2020 | 1 minute read
  • After hitting an all-time high on February 19, equity markets have quickly turned, experiencing their sharpest sell-off since December 2018 and entering correction territory as the steady stream of news surrounding the spread of the COVID-19 virus has intensified global growth concerns.
  • Amid the equities sell-off, the Barclays Agg has continued to benefit from the 10-year Treasury yield’s decline – it reached an all-time low this week – with prices moving steadily higher in February and most of the past year.
  • Despite the stock and bond markets’ recent diverging paths, a traditional 60/40 portfolio – with a 60% allocation to equities (growth) and 40% to traditional bonds (income) – has provided little shelter for investors this month. In fact, $100,000 invested in the S&P 500 in February 2019 would produce very similar returns to that of a 60/40 portfolio.1
  • In other words, the meaningful price appreciation that traditional bonds experienced over the past year has not been enough to offset the equity markets’ significant losses.
  • Today’s historically low interest rate environment makes it difficult for investors to find competitive levels of income from their fixed income allocation. Looking forward, further interest rate declines would indicate an even deeper flight to quality and could likely coincide with additional equity market volatility and losses. Against this backdrop, investors may benefit by turning to alternative investments to meet both their income and portfolio diversification needs.

  • Bloomberg Finance, L.P., as of February 27, 2020.

The chart of the week and any accompanying data is for informational purposes only and shall not be considered an investment recommendation or promotion of FS Investments or any FS Investments fund. The chart of the week is subject to change at any time based on market or other conditions, and FS Investments and FS Investment Solutions, LLC disclaim any responsibility to update such market commentary. The chart of the week should not be relied on as investment advice, and because investment decisions for the FS Investments funds are based on numerous factors, may not be relied on as an indication of the investment intent of any FS Investments fund. None of FS Investments, its funds, FS Investment Solutions, LLC or their respective affiliates can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred as a result of any reliance on the chart of the week or other opinions expressed therein. Any discussion of past performance should not be used as an indicator of future results.

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