Research report

Quantifying COVID-19: Impact on U.S. CRE

Which property types are most exposed?

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March 20, 2020 | 6 minute read

The coronavirus outbreak that started in China has now become a pandemic, impacting lives and disrupting economic activity across the globe. Public markets have reflected the severity of the outbreak, with equities plummeting to their quickest bear market in modern history and volatility surging to historic levels. The U.S. CRE market, just like every other corner of financial markets, will almost certainly be impacted. Ultimately, the severity of the impact will largely be determined by how quickly the virus can be contained in the U.S.

In this note we look at potential impacts of COVID-19 on the CRE market, how much stress properties are equipped to handle, and which property types are most exposed.

This information is educational in nature and does not constitute a financial promotion, investment advice or an inducement or incitement to participate in any product, offering or investment. FS Investments is not adopting, making a recommendation for or endorsing any investment strategy or particular security. All views, opinions and positions expressed herein are that of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views, opinions or positions of FS Investments. All opinions are subject to change without notice, and you should always obtain current information and perform due diligence before participating in any investment. FS Investments does not provide legal or tax advice and the information herein should not be considered legal or tax advice. Tax laws and regulations are complex and subject to change, which can materially impact any investment result. FS Investments cannot guarantee that the information herein is accurate, complete, or timely. FS Investments makes no warranties with regard to such information or results obtained by its use, and disclaims any liability arising out of your use of, or any tax position taken in reliance on, such information.

Any projections, forecasts and estimates contained herein are based upon certain assumptions that the author considers reasonable. Projections are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that some or all of the assumptions underlying the projections will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. The inclusion of projections herein should not be regarded as a representation or guarantee regarding the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and neither FS Investments nor the author are under any obligation to update or keep current such information.

All investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of the money you invest.

Matthew Malone, CFA

Managing Director, Real Estate

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