Insights

Alternatives

Private markets outlook: Refilling the glass

As we approach the end of 2024, sparks of life are emerging in private markets, fueling optimism for improved liquidity and a revitalized investment landscape.
Showing 1–6 insights out of 23 results
Chart of the week

U.S. middle market shows notably strong top-line growth

Private middle market firms continue to power the U.S. economy, driving higher revenue growth than that of small and large cap firms.

Column chart showing trailing 12-month revenue growth of constituents of the Russell 2000 Index (1.6%), the S&P 500 (6.2%) and the private U.S. middle market (12.9%). The strong revenue outperformance of private middle market firms speaks to the fundamental health of these companies relative to public small- and large-cap firms.
Playbook

Mapping the markets: Q4 2024

Our Investment Research team compiled their best charts and latest market analysis across macroeconomics, public markets and private market strategies to help our clients map today’s markets.

Chart of the week

As small caps return to favor, quality remains a concern

Markets have turned risk-on since the election, as investors again embrace small caps. But 43% of Russell 2000 companies generate negative earnings.

Line chart showing the percentage of Russell 2000 (small cap) companies that generate negative earnings. The percentage has gradually moved higher, from 14% in 1994, to 43% as of Q3 2024. The diminishing quality of public small cap companies highlights the larger shift in the investment opportunity set and suggests private markets may offer better access to firms with stronger growth prospects.
Podcast

The Takeaway with Troy Gayeski: Middle market PE secondaries

Our Chief Market Strategist dives into his latest strategy note on how these investments offer a compelling risk/reward profile for growth.

Outlooks

Private markets outlook: Refilling the glass

As we approach the end of 2024, sparks of life are emerging in private markets, fueling optimism for improved liquidity and a revitalized investment landscape.

Chart of the week

Shrinking public markets mean growth in private markets

Take-private volume has outpaced IPO volume by 3.5x since 2022. This represents an accelerating shift in opportunity toward private markets.

Column chart showing the IPO- and take-private volume by year. Since 2022, take-private volume has outpaced IPO volume by more than 3.5x, highlighting a trend in which the number of publicly traded firms has halved, from about 8,000 to 4,000 since the mid-1990s, while the opportunity set within private markets has seen corresponding growth.
Showing 1–6 insights out of 23 results

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