Macro matters: The other big game
Super Bowl Sunday has arrived, but another matchup is playing out every day in financial markets: The battle between Team Soft Landing and Team Hard Landing. We look at how to navigate the coming year as these two teams battle for the economic cycle.
Macro matters: The Fed is from Mars, markets are from Venus
This isn’t a note about gender. It is a discussion of why the Fed and markets—two entities definitely in a relationship—aren’t really hearing each other.
Macro matters: Inflation Groundhog Day
Another CPI report, another upside surprise. We dig into the inflation data, the recent pattern around market reactions, and why the present environment could extend well into 2023.
Macro matters: Are we in a recession?
Read Chief U.S. Economist Lara Rhame’s take on Q2 GDP and the debate over whether the U.S. has entered a recession.
What a red-hot labor market means for the economy
June added 850,000 new jobs, but the underlying trends in the labor market defy any prior cycle in ways that could add to inflation and complicate Fed policy.
Higher inflation: Technical, transient or structural?
Why prices rose and what it could mean for investors.
