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Investor sentiment has shifted in 2018

Returns have been flat or negative in 2018

As rates rise, duration moves to the forefront

Investment grade bonds’ yield and lengthening duration over time

Strong earnings growth a potential yellow light to the markets?

S&P 500 Index annual returns based on prior year's earnings growth

Volatility has stayed elevated in 2018

S&P 500 Index daily price moves

After an early-year surprise, inflation expectations and Treasury yields moderate

Year-over-year change in inflation expectations and Treasury yields

Volatility returns in 2018

The CBOE Volatility Index has experienced a sustained rise in 2018

Federal Reserve’s longer-run GDP forecast remains below 2%

FOMC's latest projections for the target federal funds rate and real GDP

U.S. Treasury yield curve flattens again as inflation data moderates

Spread between 10-year and 2-year Treasury notes

Sluggish productivity growth has helped keep interest rates in check

Productivity growth and interest rates remain below their long-term averages
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