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Yield curve inversion and recession jitters

Interest rates take a big step down | The yield curve inverts and alarm bells sound | The economy is cruising along, but risks loom

“Boy, that escalated quickly!” | U.S.-China trade tensions upend complacency

U.S.-China trade negotiations imploded, causing stock market complacency to quickly evaporate.

Macro matters: The other big game

Super Bowl Sunday has arrived, but another matchup is playing out every day in financial markets: The battle between Team Soft Landing and Team Hard Landing. We look at how to navigate the coming year as these two teams battle for the economic cycle.

Macro matters: The great global policy divergence

Stay up to date on the latest moves from major central banks across the world.

Macro matters: The Fed is from Mars, markets are from Venus

This isn’t a note about gender. It is a discussion of why the Fed and markets—two entities definitely in a relationship—aren’t really hearing each other.

Macro matters: Rethinking the interest rate outlook

Interest rates are renormalizing at a higher level. Investors often interpret that as a challenge—but could it be reframed as a positive?

Macro matters: Markets bear the brunt of yield curve steepening

How higher interest rates could continue to challenge public equities and bonds. Read the latest update from our research team.

Markets are suddenly vulnerable to optimism

When expectations are so positive, the threshold for a downside surprise becomes incredibly low. Publicly traded equities may be particularly vulnerable in the coming quarter.

Macro matters: Inflation Groundhog Day

Another CPI report, another upside surprise. We dig into the inflation data, the recent pattern around market reactions, and why the present environment could extend well into 2023.
Showing 331–340 out of 1011 results

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