Research report

COVID-19 and the impact on the U.S. economy

In this note, we attempt to measure the impact of specific industry shutdowns and outline uncertainties around knock-on effects on consumer spending, business investment and the efficacy of stimulus.

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March 23, 2020 | 7 minute read

Efforts to contain the spread of COVID-19 in the U.S. are resulting in shuttered businesses and an unprecedented dislocation of economic activity. Given the nature of the crisis, certain areas of the economy are likely to be hit hardest. The breadth and depth of the impact may ultimately be determined largely by the length of time it takes to get the pandemic under control.

In this note, we attempt to measure the immediate impact of specific industry shutdowns as well as outline uncertainties around knock-on effects on consumer spending, business investment and efficacy of government stimulus.

This information is educational in nature and does not constitute a financial promotion, investment advice or an inducement or incitement to participate in any product, offering or investment. FS Investments is not adopting, making a recommendation for or endorsing any investment strategy or particular security. All views, opinions and positions expressed herein are that of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views, opinions or positions of FS Investments. All opinions are subject to change without notice, and you should always obtain current information and perform due diligence before participating in any investment. FS Investments does not provide legal or tax advice and the information herein should not be considered legal or tax advice. Tax laws and regulations are complex and subject to change, which can materially impact any investment result. FS Investments cannot guarantee that the information herein is accurate, complete, or timely. FS Investments makes no warranties with regard to such information or results obtained by its use, and disclaims any liability arising out of your use of, or any tax position taken in reliance on, such information.

Any projections, forecasts and estimates contained herein are based upon certain assumptions that the author considers reasonable. Projections are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that some or all of the assumptions underlying the projections will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. The inclusion of projections herein should not be regarded as a representation or guarantee regarding the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and neither FS Investments nor the author are under any obligation to update or keep current such information.

All investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of the money you invest.

Lara Rhame

Chief U.S. Economist + Managing Director

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