Lara is Chief U.S. Economist and Managing Director on the Investment Research team at FS Investments, where she analyzes developments in the global and U.S. economy and financial markets. Her fresh take on macroeconomic issues helps to inform and develop the firm’s long-term views on the economy, investment trends and issues facing investors. Lara is committed to the Philadelphia community and serves on the boards of the Economy League of Greater Philadelphia, Hyperion Bank and Starr Garden Park.
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Blog
My two favorite recession indicators
Our economy is slowing, and with partial yield curve inversion, investors are worried we’re heading into a recession. But two other indicators have a better track record at signaling one.
Economic outlook
Midyear 2019: The corrosive effects of policy uncertainty
The unknowns facing our economy, along with a tight labor market and deteriorating business sentiment, are slowing growth and may amplify volatility.
Macro matters
Be careful what you wish for: Fed lays groundwork for summer rate cut
We believe the Fed should take a cautious approach to cutting rates, despite the short-term benefit to financial markets.
Blog
Anatomy of an economic slowdown – economic uncertainty becomes a headwind
Softening data YTD and yield curve inversion have raised concerns that growth could slow more sharply than expected, or even contract, resulting in a recession.
Macro matters
Equity markets have been telling the wrong story
Falling yields, a perfect storm of policy uncertainty and the looming economic slowdown mean investors should prepare for higher volatility.
Macro matters
“Boy, that escalated quickly!” | U.S.-China trade tensions upend complacency
U.S.-China trade negotiations imploded, causing stock market complacency to quickly evaporate.
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