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Macro matters: Are we in a recession?

Read Chief U.S. Economist Lara Rhame’s take on Q2 GDP and the debate over whether the U.S. has entered a recession.

Macro matters: Four key takeaways from a wild week

Read Chief U.S. Economist Lara Rhame’s four big takeaways after a crazy week for markets.

Macro matters: Hot summer / Cooling CPI

In the midst of record-breaking heat, markets are breathing a collective sigh of relief as inflation finally shows widespread cooling.

Macro matters: Inflation Groundhog Day

Another CPI report, another upside surprise. We dig into the inflation data, the recent pattern around market reactions, and why the present environment could extend well into 2023.

Macro matters: Markets bear the brunt of yield curve steepening

How higher interest rates could continue to challenge public equities and bonds. Read the latest update from our research team.

Macro matters: Rethinking the interest rate outlook

Interest rates are renormalizing at a higher level. Investors often interpret that as a challenge—but could it be reframed as a positive?

Macro matters: The Fed is from Mars, markets are from Venus

This isn’t a note about gender. It is a discussion of why the Fed and markets—two entities definitely in a relationship—aren’t really hearing each other.

Macro matters: The great global policy divergence

Stay up to date on the latest moves from major central banks across the world.

Macro matters: The other big game

Super Bowl Sunday has arrived, but another matchup is playing out every day in financial markets: The battle between Team Soft Landing and Team Hard Landing. We look at how to navigate the coming year as these two teams battle for the economic cycle.
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