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Traditional stocks and bonds downshift in 2018

Stocks and bonds largely range-bound in 1H 2018

Market momentum fades as the economic cycle ages

Stock and bond returns in 2017 and 2018

Traditional bond returns sputter as rates rise

Barclays Agg quarterly returns vs. 10-year Treasury yield

History points to higher volatility and lower returns

In 2018, volatility is higher and returns are lower

Treasury yields, and Fed fund expectations, decline

Rates move lower across the yield curve

Short-term Treasury yields surpass equity yields, but remain low

Stock dividend yields versus U.S. Treasury yields

Investor sentiment has shifted in 2018

Returns have been flat or negative in 2018

As rates rise, duration moves to the forefront

Investment grade bonds’ yield and lengthening duration over time

Strong earnings growth a potential yellow light to the markets?

S&P 500 Index annual returns based on prior year's earnings growth
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