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Consumers expect an inflation spike. Economists? Not so much

Consumers’ inflation expectations are about double economists’. We break down the divide, noting that volatility could escalate amid uncertainty.

Copper and copper miners—Are we in a new supercycle?

A new market update from Chief Market Strategist Troy Gayeski

Corporate earnings expectations decline

See how the lackluster forecast for Q4 2018 earnings growth relates to recent global and macro-economic concerns.

Could a tight housing market mean opportunity in CRE?

Mortgage rates have hit a new high as housing inventory remains depressed. This week’s chart looks at why this could buoy multifamily CRE.

Could an investor vs. Fed divide drive volatility?

This week’s chart looks at market-based expectations for Fed rate cuts, which have increasingly run counter to policymakers’ intentions.

Could investors be counting on an unrequited Fed pivot?

Investors have bet on a Fed pivot recently. Yet, this week’s chart looks at market-based expectations for the Fed funds rate, which have kept rising.

Could quantitative tightening drive volatility higher?

As the Fed begins to tighten monetary policy, our chart looks at the VIX through various Fed policies over the past 15 years.

Could subdued global inflation expectations imply a rate cut ahead?

Is a Fed rate cut on the horizon? See how recent global inflation dynamics could cause further troubles for income-oriented investors.

COVID-19 and the impact on the U.S. economy

In this note, we attempt to measure the impact of specific industry shutdowns and outline uncertainties around knock-on effects on consumer spending, business investment and the efficacy of stimulus.
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