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Sentiment and spending fight it out

Consumer sentiment and spending are telling two different stories, which could lead to differing economic outlooks.

Equity and Treasury markets agree: Expect volatility

The MOVE Index spiked from an elevated level while the VIX moved up, but from a decade-plus low.

Strong dollar costs stocks

This week’s chart looks at how recent dollar strength could test an already-challenged equity market.

A focus on duration amid the nonstop rise in rates

This week’s chart looks at high yield bonds’ limited duration profile compared to investment grade bonds.

The Agg headed for a third consecutive annual decline?

This week’s chart looks at the Agg’s recent performance as rising rates provide a formidable headwind for core fixed income.

Concentrated equity market persists in 2023

This week’s chart looks at the massive divide between year-to-date returns on the Big 7 tech stocks and the rest of the S&P 500.

Hawkish Fed to remain a challenge in 2023?

Markets don’t seem to believe Fed policy makers. This week’s chart looks at why market-based Fed funds rate expectations could drive volatility.

A slog ahead? Leading indicators point to a downturn

Data points toward a potential slog as leading economic indicators weaken. This week’s chart looks at why markets could remain choppy.

Competing data confound markets again

Retail sales data and sentiment moved in opposite directions. This week’s chart looks at the divide, why the competing data could drive volatility.

Regime shift in equity markets?

After a down decade, international stocks are showing signs of life again. This week’s chart looks at international stocks’ recent outperformance.
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