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Credit market commentary: October 2018

Credit indices fell alongside equities in October, while rising interest rates weighed heaviest on the Barclays Agg. Equities and high yield credit declined in a volatile trading month. Senior Secured Loans generally held steady and captured upside to October’s rising rates, which caused the Barclays Agg to trade down.

2018’s heightened volatility intensifies in October

See what’s behind recent market volatility and why investors may be wise to prepare for more in the months ahead.

Q4 2018: Indicators we’re watching (part 1)

Core inflation | Real interest rates | Global interest rates

Active fixed income managers are adjusting for rising rates

See why a passive management strategy and rising rates may not mix when it comes to fixed income assets.

Q4 2018: Indicators we’re watching (part 2)

Unemployment rate | Business investment | Household wealth | 2-10 spread

A potentially dangerous curve

If the yield curve inverts, will a recession follow? Not necessarily, given how far from normal the current expansion and Fed rate hike cycle are. We believe investors should instead watch out for volatility sparked by recession fears and prepare for especially challenged traditional income sources.

Traditional assets are struggling in 2018

See why increased volatility and minimal returns across domestic and global markets could continue through the year end.

Volatility is back after a long decline

Read why investor expectations of near-term volatility have jumped this month, and why more volatility may be on its way.
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