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As long rates fall, core fixed income stuck in the middle

Long rates have declined despite rising inflation readings. This week’s chart looks at the declining yield curve and why core FI is in a tough spot.

Rate expectations remain near zero for the long term

Prices have risen, but rates remain anchored. This week’s chart looks at Fed funds rate expectations, noting that the income problem is here to stay.

Despite rate pause, the Barclays Agg remains underwater

The Barclays Agg remains in negative territory YTD despite a kinder rate environment. We compare core fixed income returns in 2020 and 2021.

Consumers expect an inflation spike. Economists? Not so much

Consumers’ inflation expectations are about double economists’. We break down the divide, noting that volatility could escalate amid uncertainty.

Inflation: Here today and gone tomorrow, or here to stay?

The inflation debate turns from speculation to reality. Our chart breaks down April’s CPI report and suggests one takeaway could be higher volatility.

Commodity prices an inflation canary in the coal mine?

Soaring commodity prices have stoked the inflation debate. Our chart looks at price inflation and suggests one takeaway could be higher volatility.

With the 10-year’s decline, a sense of false hope?

The Barclays Agg rose in April for the first time since December. Our chart looks at the secular issues that continue to drag fixed income markets.

Style-agnostic approach important in fast-changing markets

With markets moving fast and furious, our chart looks at dispersions across factors and why style agnosticism may be more important than ever.

FANG–interest rate correlation turns more negative

Tech stocks have had a topsy-turvy 2021. Our chart looks at their correlation with rates, highlighting the importance of flexibility.

$5 trillion later, long-run GDP expectations mostly unchanged

Despite today’s optimism, long-run GDP projections remain similar to those pre-COVID. Our chart sounds a cautious note for long-term investors.
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