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Volatility sinks Treasuries’ risk-return relationship

The risk-return relationship for the risk-free rate has grown riskier. This week’s chart shows the 2-year note’s Sharpe ratio turning deeply negative.

Q4 2022 Economic outlook: Struggling for a foothold

Chief U.S. Economist Lara Rhame examines the potential paths for investors amid Q4’s mounting economic uncertainties.

Q4 2022 Corporate credit outlook: At a crossroads

Our research team recaps what has happened in credit this year, and how market volatility could impact key sectors in the coming months.

Credit market commentary: September 2022

Markets were gripped with volatility once again in September. Stubbornly high inflation, hawkish Fed rhetoric and poor earnings results in certain economic bellwether stocks weighed on markets with little reprieve.

Do rising rates favor CRE debt?

Rising rates have wreaked havoc on markets this year, but this week’s chart points to CRE debt as an area that could potentially benefit from them.

Macro matters: Inflation Groundhog Day

Another CPI report, another upside surprise. We dig into the inflation data, the recent pattern around market reactions, and why the present environment could extend well into 2023.

Q4 2022 Commercial real estate outlook: Recalibration in process

The team assesses the drivers of an ongoing recalibration in the CRE market, points to areas of opportunity amid economic uncertainty and more.

Strong jobs data pose latest challenge to the Fed

With all eyes on jobs, this week’s chart looks at the scale of the Fed’s inflation challenge as employment figures have barely budged this year.

Charted Territory: Strong Dollar Playbook

The dollar has surged to multi-decade highs, complicating an already-challenged investing and policy landscape.
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