As long rates fall, core fixed income stuck in the middle
Long rates have declined despite rising inflation readings. This week’s chart looks at the declining yield curve and why core FI is in a tough spot.
Rate expectations remain near zero for the long term
Prices have risen, but rates remain anchored. This week’s chart looks at Fed funds rate expectations, noting that the income problem is here to stay.
Despite rate pause, the Barclays Agg remains underwater
The Barclays Agg remains in negative territory YTD despite a kinder rate environment. We compare core fixed income returns in 2020 and 2021.
Consumers expect an inflation spike. Economists? Not so much
Consumers’ inflation expectations are about double economists’. We break down the divide, noting that volatility could escalate amid uncertainty.
Inflation: Here today and gone tomorrow, or here to stay?
The inflation debate turns from speculation to reality. Our chart breaks down April’s CPI report and suggests one takeaway could be higher volatility.
Commodity prices an inflation canary in the coal mine?
Soaring commodity prices have stoked the inflation debate. Our chart looks at price inflation and suggests one takeaway could be higher volatility.