Chart of the week

Showing 1–6 insights out of 8 results
Chart of the week

U.S. middle market shows notably strong top-line growth

Private middle market firms continue to power the U.S. economy, driving higher revenue growth than that of small and large cap firms.

Column chart showing trailing 12-month revenue growth of constituents of the Russell 2000 Index (1.6%), the S&P 500 (6.2%) and the private U.S. middle market (12.9%). The strong revenue outperformance of private middle market firms speaks to the fundamental health of these companies relative to public small- and large-cap firms.
Chart of the week

As small caps return to favor, quality remains a concern

Markets have turned risk-on since the election, as investors again embrace small caps. But 43% of Russell 2000 companies generate negative earnings.

Line chart showing the percentage of Russell 2000 (small cap) companies that generate negative earnings. The percentage has gradually moved higher, from 14% in 1994, to 43% as of Q3 2024. The diminishing quality of public small cap companies highlights the larger shift in the investment opportunity set and suggests private markets may offer better access to firms with stronger growth prospects.
Chart of the week

Shrinking public markets mean growth in private markets

Take-private volume has outpaced IPO volume by 3.5x since 2022. This represents an accelerating shift in opportunity toward private markets.

Column chart showing the IPO- and take-private volume by year. Since 2022, take-private volume has outpaced IPO volume by more than 3.5x, highlighting a trend in which the number of publicly traded firms has halved, from about 8,000 to 4,000 since the mid-1990s, while the opportunity set within private markets has seen corresponding growth.
Chart of the week

Middle market at the center of U.S. job growth

With employment data in focus, the middle market has shined, outpacing job growth in small and large-cap firms by more than double.

Chart of the week

Middle market private equity outperforms amid elevated rates

Middle market private equity has outperformed mega cap PE amid the elevated rate environment since Q2 2022. It remains well-positioned today.

Column chart showing middle market private equity funds’ annual out- or underperformance each quarter since Q1 2019. Middle market PE funds notably outperformed after the Fed ended it’s zero interest-rate policy (ZIRP). This sector has historically shown less interest rate sensitivity and relied more on organic growth (improving earnings, growing margins, expanding product lines) to drive value creation than large- and mega cap funds.
Chart of the week

U.S. middle market: At the sweet spot of private equity

Private equity fundraising has far outpaced transaction volume among large-cap sponsors, while the middle market has been more closely aligned to the opportunity set, leading to more attractive valuations.

Showing 1–6 insights out of 8 results

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